Tesla Inc Stock Performance

TSLA Stock  USD 411.71  0.39  0.09%   
The entity has a beta of 0.91, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Tesla returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tesla is expected to follow. Tesla Inc right now has a risk of 2.25%. Please validate Tesla skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Tesla will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tesla Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong essential indicators, Tesla is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.12
Five Day Return
(0.63)
Year To Date Return
(6.02)
Ten Year Return
3.6 K
All Time Return
25.8 K
Last Split Factor
3:1
Last Split Date
2022-08-25
1
Stock Market Today, Jan. 22 Markets Surge Again Today After Greenland Tariffs Are Dropped
01/22/2026
2
Acquisition by Elon Musk of 27110 shares of Tesla at 384.586 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/12/2026
3
SpaceX reportedly mulls dual-class share structure for upcoming IPO
02/13/2026
4
Berkshire Hathaway high on Coke Elon Musk was stunned by the investment empires Coca-Cola dividend windfall
02/17/2026
5
Teslas FSD One-Time Purchase Has Ended But Heres How You Can Still Avail It
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow17 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-15.5 B

Tesla Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  41,778  in Tesla Inc on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (607.00) from holding Tesla Inc or give up 1.45% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tesla Inc is currently generating 2.0E-4% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.251% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Tesla, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tesla is expected to generate 535.5 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.0 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of volatility.

Tesla Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tesla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 411.71 90 days 411.71 
about 83.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tesla to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.95 (This Tesla Inc probability density function shows the probability of Tesla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tesla has a beta of 0.91. This usually implies Tesla Inc market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tesla is expected to follow. Additionally Tesla Inc has an alpha of 0.0042, implying that it can generate a 0.004242 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tesla Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tesla

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tesla Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
409.46411.71413.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
369.18371.43452.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
401.86404.12406.37
Details
47 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
383.77421.73468.12
Details

Tesla Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tesla is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tesla's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tesla Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tesla within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
24.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.0003

Tesla Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tesla for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tesla Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tesla Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Tesla Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from express.co.uk: Lewis Hamilton finally rid of what he inherited at Ferrari as Brit reveals major changes

Tesla Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tesla Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tesla's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tesla's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments44.1 B

Tesla Fundamentals Growth

Tesla Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tesla, and Tesla fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tesla Stock performance.

About Tesla Performance

By analyzing Tesla's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Tesla's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Tesla has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tesla has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 58.19  55.28 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.05 

Things to note about Tesla Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tesla for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tesla Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tesla Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Tesla Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from express.co.uk: Lewis Hamilton finally rid of what he inherited at Ferrari as Brit reveals major changes
Evaluating Tesla's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tesla's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Tesla's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tesla's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tesla's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tesla's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tesla's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tesla's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tesla's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tesla's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tesla's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Tesla Stock analysis

When running Tesla's price analysis, check to measure Tesla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tesla is operating at the current time. Most of Tesla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tesla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tesla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tesla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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