Tesla Inc Stock Performance
| TSLA Stock | USD 430.41 13.85 3.32% |
The entity has a beta of 1.38, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tesla will likely underperform. At this point, Tesla Inc has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to validate Tesla's value at risk, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and day typical price , to decide if Tesla Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Tesla Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's essential indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.32 | Five Day Return (3.80) | Year To Date Return (1.75) | Ten Year Return 3.2 K | All Time Return 27 K |
Last Split Factor 3:1 | Last Split Date 2022-08-25 |
1 | Tesla Declines More Than Market Some Information for Investors | 12/26/2025 |
2 | Tesla Spent Big On Cybercab Branding, Now Someone Else Owns It | 01/07/2026 |
3 | Jan3 CEO Samson Mow Predicts Elon Musk Will Go Hard Into Bitcoin As X Plans Crypto-Linked Feature | 01/15/2026 |
4 | Elons wild ride at the White House From DOGE and a chainsaw to one epic bust-up with Trump | 01/21/2026 |
5 | Stock Market Today, Jan. 22 Markets Surge Again Today After Greenland Tariffs Are Dropped | 01/22/2026 |
6 | Tesla hit with stunning setback in battle for dominance with Chinese automaker here are the details | 01/23/2026 |
7 | Why investors should focus on robots that do the dirty jobs | 01/26/2026 |
8 | Tesla Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 01/28/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 17.2 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -18.8 B |
Tesla Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 46,837 in Tesla Inc on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,796) from holding Tesla Inc or give up 8.1% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tesla Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.6824% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Tesla, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Tesla Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Tesla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 430.41 | 90 days | 430.41 | about 70.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tesla to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.8 (This Tesla Inc probability density function shows the probability of Tesla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tesla will likely underperform. Additionally Tesla Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tesla Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tesla
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tesla Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tesla Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tesla is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tesla's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tesla Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tesla within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Tesla Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tesla for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tesla Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tesla Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tesla Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tesla Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Tesla Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript |
Tesla Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tesla Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tesla's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tesla's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.6 B |
Tesla Fundamentals Growth
Tesla Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tesla, and Tesla fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tesla Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0485 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0233 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.53 T | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.75 B | |||
| Price To Earning | 56.02 X | |||
| Price To Book | 19.03 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 16.48 X | |||
| Revenue | 97.69 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 17.09 B | |||
| EBITDA | 14.71 B | |||
| Net Income | 7.15 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.75 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 6.68 X | |||
| Total Debt | 13.62 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.46 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 25.42 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.92 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.08 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 1.56 T | |||
| Total Asset | 122.07 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 35.21 B | |||
| Working Capital | 29.54 B | |||
| Current Asset | 2.78 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 2.81 B | |||
About Tesla Performance
By analyzing Tesla's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Tesla's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Tesla has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tesla has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 58.19 | 55.28 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.05 | 0.05 |
Things to note about Tesla Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tesla for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tesla Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tesla Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tesla Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tesla Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Tesla Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript |
- Analyzing Tesla's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tesla's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Tesla's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Tesla's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tesla's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tesla's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tesla's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Tesla Stock analysis
When running Tesla's price analysis, check to measure Tesla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tesla is operating at the current time. Most of Tesla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tesla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tesla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tesla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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